Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

The New Paradigm: Major Central Banks Don’t Fail

Warren Buffet has called the Federal Reserve, the US central bank, “The Greatest Hedge Fund In History”.  That is because the Fed as it is commonly known has persisted in printing money and buying $85 billion in bonds each month in order to artificially support the US and by extension the global financial markets.

This is quite possibly the recipe for another financial disaster. Continue reading

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Are We On The Verge Of Another Financial Crisis?

Are we on the verge of another financial crisis?

It is a question well worth asking as the prices of stocks and property have been sky high by central bankers flooding the markets with cheap money.

What should risk professionals do?

The first question for risk managers, internal auditors and finance professionals is; how much of the cheap and plentiful liquidity provided by Quantitative Easing, or QE as it is known, has gone into inflating asset prices—stocks, bonds and housing?

The second question is: how far will asset prices fall when the Fed and the Bank of England start to “taper” or reduce their QE and how will that impact my institution? Continue reading

Clearing The Bull on the Financial Crisis – Part I

We can never legislate or regulate our way to sustainable banking—the industry needs to adopt a new strategic business model

Déjà vu All Over Again

“They came on in the same old way and we sent then back in the same old way”.

They were the words the Duke of Wellington used to describe the repeated and futile attempts by Napoleon’s Grand Armée to break through the British defenses at Waterloo.

They can equally be used to describe the current prescriptions for the subprime crisis.

We remain mired in the unenviable position where those who know about banking are firmly wedded to the same old solutions, while those who don’t know about banking i.e. some in the mass media and certain politicians, resort to populist rhetoric. Sadly, the debate on the subprime crisis has generated more heat than light.

It is time for something different. However, before we move forward with a new prescription we need to better define the problem.

Continue reading

Clearing The Bull – The Subprime Crisis Was Not Just About Banks

Western society is now facing economic challenges that, until recently, were almost inconceivable. Budget deficits, austerity measures and overall economic decline, in both relative and absolute terms, all appear to be the order of the day.

As a consequence, the liberal democracy which the west has held aloft like a prized-possession for so long, is also now under threat. Greece and Italy are being run by appointed technocratic governments, the EU suffers from political gridlock and the US political system is in rigor mortis.

Most people will either think or want to believe that all this has been triggered by the banks and the subprime crisis which they brought about. However, this is not entirely true. As a matter of fact that would be putting the cart before the horse.

History tells us a slightly different story—and that is that almost every major banking or financial crisis of the past 40 years has been accompanied by great economic and political issues and events that in many instances have had a global impact. The subprime crisis was no different.

This is just one example of what Clearing The Bull is all about. The book looks beyond the conventional rhetoric and belief systems to not only better understand the nature of financial crises, but also why banks need to do a much better job at managing both their internal and external environment.

Available for pre-order!